Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.002183 0.002303 0.002430 0.002575 0.002737 0.002913 0.003120
2025-03-09 0.001966 0.002127 0.002305 0.002519 0.002773 0.003070 0.003448
2025-03-16 0.001867 0.002060 0.002283 0.002563 0.002915 0.003352 0.003957
2025-03-23 0.001787 0.002003 0.002259 0.002595 0.003036 0.003618 0.004490
2025-03-30 0.001697 0.001923 0.002198 0.002569 0.003074 0.003773 0.004894
2025-04-06 0.001605 0.001833 0.002116 0.002504 0.003047 0.003829 0.005155
2025-04-13 0.001540 0.001773 0.002066 0.002475 0.003066 0.003948 0.005539
2025-04-20 0.001446 0.001670 0.001953 0.002354 0.002937 0.003824 0.005469
2025-04-27 0.001408 0.001636 0.001929 0.002351 0.002982 0.003977 0.005942
2025-05-04 0.001393 0.001632 0.001944 0.002403 0.003112 0.004287 0.006821
2025-05-11 0.001361 0.001603 0.001923 0.002401 0.003156 0.004455 0.007461
2025-05-18 0.001349 0.001601 0.001938 0.002452 0.003291 0.004809 0.008713
2025-05-25 0.001311 0.001562 0.001902 0.002427 0.003303 0.004943 0.009501
2025-06-01 0.001267 0.001515 0.001852 0.002380 0.003272 0.004989 0.010070
2025-06-08 0.001253 0.001508 0.001860 0.002421 0.003401 0.005398 0.012234
2025-06-15 0.001236 0.001496 0.001860 0.002449 0.003510 0.005795 0.014960
2025-06-22 0.001207 0.001465 0.001829 0.002426 0.003519 0.005956 0.016868
2025-06-29 0.001169 0.001422 0.001779 0.002368 0.003454 0.005918 0.017604
2025-07-06 0.001143 0.001394 0.001750 0.002342 0.003452 0.006044 0.019765
2025-07-13 0.001096 0.001334 0.001672 0.002232 0.003273 0.005669 0.017666
2025-07-20 0.001079 0.001318 0.001659 0.002230 0.003312 0.005894 0.020849
2025-07-27 0.001075 0.001320 0.001674 0.002277 0.003454 0.006455 0.030122
2025-08-03 0.001059 0.001305 0.001661 0.002275 0.003495 0.006729 0.038974